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	<title>Comments on: Giving Jim Rice a Second Chance</title>
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		<title>By: Sarah Green</title>
		<link>http://umpbump.com/press/2008/01/11/giving-jim-rice-a-second-chance/comment-page-1/#comment-54326</link>
		<dc:creator>Sarah Green</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Jan 2008 20:04:21 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Thanks, Paul. I was curious (yet oddly too lazy to look it up) because of this comment by Nick:

&quot;Babe Ruth once walked 170 times in a season. Ted Williams averaged 143 walks per 162 games. And even Ty Cobb, who we might think of as the epitome of a slap-hitter, had a season in which he walked 118 times.&quot;

And I thought to myself, &quot;But I thought that was before intentional walks were recorded as intentional.&quot; And indeed, this is true. So perhaps the Babe and the Kid and Ty were intentionally walked? Perhaps they weren&#039;t drawing those walks after 13-pitch at-bats a la Kevin Youkilis? Perhaps they didn&#039;t &quot;clearly understand the value of walks in some sense.&quot; Perhaps they had no choice.

Anyway, I forget where I found that Mel Ott thing. I think I googled something like &quot;first ballot hall of famers home road splits.&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks, Paul. I was curious (yet oddly too lazy to look it up) because of this comment by Nick:</p>
<p>&#8220;Babe Ruth once walked 170 times in a season. Ted Williams averaged 143 walks per 162 games. And even Ty Cobb, who we might think of as the epitome of a slap-hitter, had a season in which he walked 118 times.&#8221;</p>
<p>And I thought to myself, &#8220;But I thought that was before intentional walks were recorded as intentional.&#8221; And indeed, this is true. So perhaps the Babe and the Kid and Ty were intentionally walked? Perhaps they weren&#8217;t drawing those walks after 13-pitch at-bats a la Kevin Youkilis? Perhaps they didn&#8217;t &#8220;clearly understand the value of walks in some sense.&#8221; Perhaps they had no choice.</p>
<p>Anyway, I forget where I found that Mel Ott thing. I think I googled something like &#8220;first ballot hall of famers home road splits.&#8221;
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		<title>By: Paul Moro</title>
		<link>http://umpbump.com/press/2008/01/11/giving-jim-rice-a-second-chance/comment-page-1/#comment-54325</link>
		<dc:creator>Paul Moro</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Jan 2008 04:36:43 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Sarah, I actually did not know that about Ott. Where&#039;d you get that info? But I suppose now that I do know this, it makes sense because the Polo Grounds were notoriously shallow in both right and left field (something like 275 ft) while ridiculously huge in center. Hell, I may be able to clear the wall there. Maybe.

But to answer your question, the intentional walk wasn&#039;t tracked for each player until 1955.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sarah, I actually did not know that about Ott. Where&#8217;d you get that info? But I suppose now that I do know this, it makes sense because the Polo Grounds were notoriously shallow in both right and left field (something like 275 ft) while ridiculously huge in center. Hell, I may be able to clear the wall there. Maybe.</p>
<p>But to answer your question, the intentional walk wasn&#8217;t tracked for each player until 1955.
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		<title>By: Nick Kapur</title>
		<link>http://umpbump.com/press/2008/01/11/giving-jim-rice-a-second-chance/comment-page-1/#comment-54324</link>
		<dc:creator>Nick Kapur</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Jan 2008 03:55:48 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Well, Mel Ott is a *slightly* different case from Jim Rice. Slightly.



Mel Ott has an astonishingly good career line of .304/.414/.533, hit 511 home runs, and has a ridiculous career OPS  of 155 (which is adjusted for park effects). Mel Ott was a first-ballot Hall of Famer, and rightly so.



Nobody would care about Jim Rice&#039;s home-road splits if he were a clear and obvious choice for the Hall of Fame. But since his overall numbers are already borderline, and his road splits are truly mediocre (only .789 OPS!), then it becomes an issue.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Well, Mel Ott is a *slightly* different case from Jim Rice. Slightly.</p>
<p>Mel Ott has an astonishingly good career line of .304/.414/.533, hit 511 home runs, and has a ridiculous career OPS  of 155 (which is adjusted for park effects). Mel Ott was a first-ballot Hall of Famer, and rightly so.</p>
<p>Nobody would care about Jim Rice&#8217;s home-road splits if he were a clear and obvious choice for the Hall of Fame. But since his overall numbers are already borderline, and his road splits are truly mediocre (only .789 OPS!), then it becomes an issue.
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		<title>By: Sarah Green</title>
		<link>http://umpbump.com/press/2008/01/11/giving-jim-rice-a-second-chance/comment-page-1/#comment-54323</link>
		<dc:creator>Sarah Green</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Jan 2008 02:43:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Did you guys know that Mel Ott hit 135 more homers at home than on the road?

Should Mel Ott not be in the Hall of Fame?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Did you guys know that Mel Ott hit 135 more homers at home than on the road?</p>
<p>Should Mel Ott not be in the Hall of Fame?
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		<title>By: Sarah Green</title>
		<link>http://umpbump.com/press/2008/01/11/giving-jim-rice-a-second-chance/comment-page-1/#comment-54322</link>
		<dc:creator>Sarah Green</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Jan 2008 02:33:34 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>One random question: when did intentional walks start being recorded as intentional?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>One random question: when did intentional walks start being recorded as intentional?
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		<title>By: Rich</title>
		<link>http://umpbump.com/press/2008/01/11/giving-jim-rice-a-second-chance/comment-page-1/#comment-54321</link>
		<dc:creator>Rich</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Jan 2008 01:30:49 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Paul, one thought off the top of my head.

Yes, pitchers are included, but they should only have a small effect on the overall stats. Upper limit of 1/18 (1/9 ABs, divided by 2, due to the different leagues) and likely smaller even than that due to substitutions and fewer atbats in the 9hole.

more thoughts later, but interesting post.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Paul, one thought off the top of my head.</p>
<p>Yes, pitchers are included, but they should only have a small effect on the overall stats. Upper limit of 1/18 (1/9 ABs, divided by 2, due to the different leagues) and likely smaller even than that due to substitutions and fewer atbats in the 9hole.</p>
<p>more thoughts later, but interesting post.
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		<title>By: Nick Kapur</title>
		<link>http://umpbump.com/press/2008/01/11/giving-jim-rice-a-second-chance/comment-page-1/#comment-54320</link>
		<dc:creator>Nick Kapur</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 12 Jan 2008 13:18:23 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Also, and this is a general comment, I&#039;m not sure if I buy the whole argument a lot of people are making saying that in Rice&#039;s time OBP was not valued, so therefore we shouldn&#039;t hold a low OBP against him.

Even if walks were not valued, truly great hitter&#039;s clearly understood the value of walks in some sense, if only that laying off bad pitches let them hit good pitches harder. Babe Ruth once walked 170 times in a season. Ted Williams &lt;i&gt;averaged&lt;/i&gt; 143 walks per 162 games. And even Ty Cobb, who we might think of as the epitome of a slap-hitter, had a season in which he walked 118 times.

So regardless of whether sportswriters, or Hall Voters, mangers, or even players thought walks were great or not, I think its perfectly fair to consider a player&#039;s OBP when evaluating their hall candidacy, because all of the truly great hitters had monstrous OBPs, for whatever the reason. So it&#039;s a fair comparison to make.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Also, and this is a general comment, I&#8217;m not sure if I buy the whole argument a lot of people are making saying that in Rice&#8217;s time OBP was not valued, so therefore we shouldn&#8217;t hold a low OBP against him.</p>
<p>Even if walks were not valued, truly great hitter&#8217;s clearly understood the value of walks in some sense, if only that laying off bad pitches let them hit good pitches harder. Babe Ruth once walked 170 times in a season. Ted Williams <i>averaged</i> 143 walks per 162 games. And even Ty Cobb, who we might think of as the epitome of a slap-hitter, had a season in which he walked 118 times.</p>
<p>So regardless of whether sportswriters, or Hall Voters, mangers, or even players thought walks were great or not, I think its perfectly fair to consider a player&#8217;s OBP when evaluating their hall candidacy, because all of the truly great hitters had monstrous OBPs, for whatever the reason. So it&#8217;s a fair comparison to make.
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		<title>By: Nick Kapur</title>
		<link>http://umpbump.com/press/2008/01/11/giving-jim-rice-a-second-chance/comment-page-1/#comment-54319</link>
		<dc:creator>Nick Kapur</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 12 Jan 2008 13:10:07 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>&quot;Even the Sox pitchers performed better at Fenway! At Fenway, the supposed hitters’ haven!&quot;

No Sarah, the Sox pitchers did not perform better at Fenway, &quot;the supposed&quot; hitters haven. Look at the numbers you just quoted. The Sox pitchers had a 4.04 ERA on the road and a 4.13 ERA at Fenway. So they actually performed &lt;i&gt;worse&lt;/i&gt; at Fenway. Paul is just saying they performed better at Fenway relative to the rest of the league, so stat this doesn&#039;t disprove the notion that Fenway was a strong hitter&#039;s park.

But this is a minor nitpick, because your main point about teams performing better at home is still somewhat supported by that stat. But adding the &quot;supposed&quot; in front of &quot;hitters park&quot; is clearly not warranted. Fenway was CLEARLY a hitter&#039;s park during Rice&#039;s era.

As for the &quot;chart to the left&quot; which confused you, I think the reason it shows why Rice might not have joined Gossage this year is that, EVEN THOUGH it shows that Rice was better than the average player outside of Fenway, are those really Hall of Fame worthy numbers? .277 avg? .330 OBP? Paul&#039;s point is that maybe they are not, which is why later at the end of the graf he asks the question, &quot;Would Jim Rice have been a Hall of Fame caliber player if he were not drafted by the Boston Red Sox?&quot; I think that is an interesting question.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Even the Sox pitchers performed better at Fenway! At Fenway, the supposed hitters’ haven!&#8221;</p>
<p>No Sarah, the Sox pitchers did not perform better at Fenway, &#8220;the supposed&#8221; hitters haven. Look at the numbers you just quoted. The Sox pitchers had a 4.04 ERA on the road and a 4.13 ERA at Fenway. So they actually performed <i>worse</i> at Fenway. Paul is just saying they performed better at Fenway relative to the rest of the league, so stat this doesn&#8217;t disprove the notion that Fenway was a strong hitter&#8217;s park.</p>
<p>But this is a minor nitpick, because your main point about teams performing better at home is still somewhat supported by that stat. But adding the &#8220;supposed&#8221; in front of &#8220;hitters park&#8221; is clearly not warranted. Fenway was CLEARLY a hitter&#8217;s park during Rice&#8217;s era.</p>
<p>As for the &#8220;chart to the left&#8221; which confused you, I think the reason it shows why Rice might not have joined Gossage this year is that, EVEN THOUGH it shows that Rice was better than the average player outside of Fenway, are those really Hall of Fame worthy numbers? .277 avg? .330 OBP? Paul&#8217;s point is that maybe they are not, which is why later at the end of the graf he asks the question, &#8220;Would Jim Rice have been a Hall of Fame caliber player if he were not drafted by the Boston Red Sox?&#8221; I think that is an interesting question.
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		<title>By: Sarah Green</title>
		<link>http://umpbump.com/press/2008/01/11/giving-jim-rice-a-second-chance/comment-page-1/#comment-54318</link>
		<dc:creator>Sarah Green</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 12 Jan 2008 12:47:25 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Oh, and yeah, about comment #4, I believe the standard cleanup hitter&#039;s line at the time was, &quot;They aren&#039;t paying me to take the walk.&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Oh, and yeah, about comment #4, I believe the standard cleanup hitter&#8217;s line at the time was, &#8220;They aren&#8217;t paying me to take the walk.&#8221;
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		<title>By: Sarah Green</title>
		<link>http://umpbump.com/press/2008/01/11/giving-jim-rice-a-second-chance/comment-page-1/#comment-54317</link>
		<dc:creator>Sarah Green</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 12 Jan 2008 12:46:11 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Okay, this is the bit that confused me about that last chart (Nick, I&#039;m clear on the overall purpose of the post---just not the last bit).

&quot;So here it is (left). The chart that may be the reason why Rice isn’t joining Gossage this year. &quot;

But to my mind, that chart just shows that Rice WAS a better hitter even away from the friendly confines! That&#039;s why I was confused. But Paul&#039;s comment (#3) has mostly alleviated my confusion.

I know Fenway is small and a &quot;hitter&#039;s park,&quot; but the vast majority of players home-road splits seem to favor their home ballpark. So this whole &quot;would he have been a Hall of Famer if he didn&#039;t play where he did play&quot; is a little silly to me; THAT&#039;s the reason anti-Rice folks give for keeping him out of the Hall? THAT&#039;S the best they got??

To wit, Paul, this bit from your post: &quot;They [the Sox pitchers] were slightly below average (Sox - 4.04 ERA vs. MLB - 3.83 ERA) overall, but for one reason or other performed very well compared to the rest of the league at Fenway (Sox - 4.13 ERA vs. MLB - 4.55 ERA) so let’s keep that in mind moving forward.&quot;

Even the Sox pitchers performed better at  Fenway! At Fenway, the supposed hitters&#039; haven! I don&#039;t think it takes a genius to know why: it was their home ballpark. Everyone likes to play at home. Plus, gotta say it, best fans in the game. Word.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Okay, this is the bit that confused me about that last chart (Nick, I&#8217;m clear on the overall purpose of the post&#8212;just not the last bit).</p>
<p>&#8220;So here it is (left). The chart that may be the reason why Rice isn’t joining Gossage this year. &#8221;</p>
<p>But to my mind, that chart just shows that Rice WAS a better hitter even away from the friendly confines! That&#8217;s why I was confused. But Paul&#8217;s comment (#3) has mostly alleviated my confusion.</p>
<p>I know Fenway is small and a &#8220;hitter&#8217;s park,&#8221; but the vast majority of players home-road splits seem to favor their home ballpark. So this whole &#8220;would he have been a Hall of Famer if he didn&#8217;t play where he did play&#8221; is a little silly to me; THAT&#8217;s the reason anti-Rice folks give for keeping him out of the Hall? THAT&#8217;S the best they got??</p>
<p>To wit, Paul, this bit from your post: &#8220;They [the Sox pitchers] were slightly below average (Sox &#8211; 4.04 ERA vs. MLB &#8211; 3.83 ERA) overall, but for one reason or other performed very well compared to the rest of the league at Fenway (Sox &#8211; 4.13 ERA vs. MLB &#8211; 4.55 ERA) so let’s keep that in mind moving forward.&#8221;</p>
<p>Even the Sox pitchers performed better at  Fenway! At Fenway, the supposed hitters&#8217; haven! I don&#8217;t think it takes a genius to know why: it was their home ballpark. Everyone likes to play at home. Plus, gotta say it, best fans in the game. Word.
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