Comments on: Will Chipper hit .400? http://umpbump.com/press/2008/05/08/will-chipper-hit-400/ In-your-face baseball commentary Sat, 07 Nov 2009 23:15:35 -0600 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.5 hourly 1 By: BravesFan http://umpbump.com/press/2008/05/08/will-chipper-hit-400/comment-page-1/#comment-55676 BravesFan Thu, 08 May 2008 21:53:41 +0000 http://umpbump.com/press/will-chipper-hit-400/#comment-55676 Chipper has hit exactly .400 from the right side of the plate since May 5, 2007...that's more than an ENTIRE season of games. That having been said, it's still going to be nearly impossible to do, but I'd like to see Andrew make the 100-mile trek. Chipper has hit exactly .400 from the right side of the plate since May 5, 2007…that’s more than an ENTIRE season of games.

That having been said, it’s still going to be nearly impossible to do, but I’d like to see Andrew make the 100-mile trek.

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]]> By: Coley Ward http://umpbump.com/press/2008/05/08/will-chipper-hit-400/comment-page-1/#comment-55675 Coley Ward Thu, 08 May 2008 19:58:31 +0000 http://umpbump.com/press/will-chipper-hit-400/#comment-55675 Eddie, his power is coming from the left, no doubt. But he certainly is hitting from the right side. He's hitting .400 from the right side, in fact. I think that's pretty good. Eddie, his power is coming from the left, no doubt. But he certainly is hitting from the right side. He’s hitting .400 from the right side, in fact. I think that’s pretty good.

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]]> By: EddieRebel http://umpbump.com/press/2008/05/08/will-chipper-hit-400/comment-page-1/#comment-55674 EddieRebel Thu, 08 May 2008 18:50:31 +0000 http://umpbump.com/press/will-chipper-hit-400/#comment-55674 Braves homer here, Chipper is not hitting from the right side. His power is coming from the left. Hopefully he won't face many lefties, and can keep his average up. No chance for 400 though. Braves homer here,

Chipper is not hitting from the right side. His power is coming from the left. Hopefully he won’t face many lefties, and can keep his average up.

No chance for 400 though.

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]]> By: Coley Ward http://umpbump.com/press/2008/05/08/will-chipper-hit-400/comment-page-1/#comment-55673 Coley Ward Thu, 08 May 2008 17:45:54 +0000 http://umpbump.com/press/will-chipper-hit-400/#comment-55673 Here's another interesting tidbit. Ted Williams was the last person to hit .400. He did it in 1941, the same year Joe Dimaggio recorded his 56-game hitting streak. Cornell grad student Samuel Arbesman recently <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/30/opinion/30strogatz.html?_r=2&oref=slogin&oref=slogin" rel="nofollow">penned a piece</a> for the New York Times where he demonstrated that 1941 was one of the least likely years for a player to record a record hitting streak. My point, of course, is that sometimes great players make history despite the odds. Here’s another interesting tidbit. Ted Williams was the last person to hit .400. He did it in 1941, the same year Joe Dimaggio recorded his 56-game hitting streak. Cornell grad student Samuel Arbesman recently penned a piece for the New York Times where he demonstrated that 1941 was one of the least likely years for a player to record a record hitting streak.

My point, of course, is that sometimes great players make history despite the odds.

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]]> By: Coley Ward http://umpbump.com/press/2008/05/08/will-chipper-hit-400/comment-page-1/#comment-55672 Coley Ward Thu, 08 May 2008 17:42:20 +0000 http://umpbump.com/press/will-chipper-hit-400/#comment-55672 Ichiro hit .372 in 2004. He missed hitting .400 because he got off to a slow start, hitting just .255 in April. He hit .400 in May, .432 in July, .463 in August and .429 in October. Ichiro's biggest problem is that he doesn't walk enough and, because of that, he has to get a TON of hits in order to bat .400. In 2004 he broke the all time record for hits in a season and still fell 28 points short. In 2004, Ichiro walked 49 times. Last year, Chipper walked 82 timese. Because he walks more, Chipper won't have to break the all time hit record in order to bat .400 (though, he'll have to come close). Look, I know it's a long shot. Hell, it's a near impossibility. But I'm still betting on Chipper. And Andrew, if you think come October I won't remember your promise to walk from Tucson to Phoenix, you're crazy. Ichiro hit .372 in 2004. He missed hitting .400 because he got off to a slow start, hitting just .255 in April. He hit .400 in May, .432 in July, .463 in August and .429 in October.

Ichiro’s biggest problem is that he doesn’t walk enough and, because of that, he has to get a TON of hits in order to bat .400. In 2004 he broke the all time record for hits in a season and still fell 28 points short.

In 2004, Ichiro walked 49 times. Last year, Chipper walked 82 timese. Because he walks more, Chipper won’t have to break the all time hit record in order to bat .400 (though, he’ll have to come close).

Look, I know it’s a long shot. Hell, it’s a near impossibility. But I’m still betting on Chipper. And Andrew, if you think come October I won’t remember your promise to walk from Tucson to Phoenix, you’re crazy.

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]]> By: Brian Gibbons http://umpbump.com/press/2008/05/08/will-chipper-hit-400/comment-page-1/#comment-55671 Brian Gibbons Thu, 08 May 2008 15:23:39 +0000 http://umpbump.com/press/will-chipper-hit-400/#comment-55671 Nobody can hit .400 again. When Ted Williams played, fielders were wearing tiny hard pieces of leather on their hands as gloves. Most of the webgems you see on baseball tonight, particularly the diving catches in the outfield, were not possible when the splendid splinter hit .406. Nobody can hit .400 again. When Ted Williams played, fielders were wearing tiny hard pieces of leather on their hands as gloves. Most of the webgems you see on baseball tonight, particularly the diving catches in the outfield, were not possible when the splendid splinter hit .406.

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]]> By: Sarah Green http://umpbump.com/press/2008/05/08/will-chipper-hit-400/comment-page-1/#comment-55669 Sarah Green Thu, 08 May 2008 13:14:06 +0000 http://umpbump.com/press/will-chipper-hit-400/#comment-55669 I don't think Jones will make it either, Nick, but I think .390 is coming "even all that close to .400." I don’t think Jones will make it either, Nick, but I think .390 is coming “even all that close to .400.”

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]]> By: Nick Kapur http://umpbump.com/press/2008/05/08/will-chipper-hit-400/comment-page-1/#comment-55668 Nick Kapur Thu, 08 May 2008 12:25:02 +0000 http://umpbump.com/press/will-chipper-hit-400/#comment-55668 Coley, you are on crack if you honestly think Chipper can hit .400. Even if we overlook the facts that he is too old, too slow, and that everyone is going to have a slump from time to time over a 6-month season, it's actually kind of statistically impossible at a very basic level. I think Baseball Prospectus had an interesting article in their "Baseball Between the Numbers" book, which was very math-y and talked a lot about standard deviations, but in which the point was that it is a lot harder to dominate baseball today than it was in the early days, because the talent level of the players is more tightly grouped, ie the difference between the best player and the worst player is far, far less of a gap today than it was in 1930. There is a reason why in all the player-seasons since 1941 nobody has come even all that close to .400, beyond just better relievers and such. Namely, that the odds of such an event happening have drastically decreased at a fundamental statistical level. Coley, you are on crack if you honestly think Chipper can hit .400. Even if we overlook the facts that he is too old, too slow, and that everyone is going to have a slump from time to time over a 6-month season, it’s actually kind of statistically impossible at a very basic level. I think Baseball Prospectus had an interesting article in their “Baseball Between the Numbers” book, which was very math-y and talked a lot about standard deviations, but in which the point was that it is a lot harder to dominate baseball today than it was in the early days, because the talent level of the players is more tightly grouped, ie the difference between the best player and the worst player is far, far less of a gap today than it was in 1930.

There is a reason why in all the player-seasons since 1941 nobody has come even all that close to .400, beyond just better relievers and such. Namely, that the odds of such an event happening have drastically decreased at a fundamental statistical level.

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]]> By: Andrew Ryan http://umpbump.com/press/2008/05/08/will-chipper-hit-400/comment-page-1/#comment-55670 Andrew Ryan Thu, 08 May 2008 05:43:52 +0000 http://umpbump.com/press/will-chipper-hit-400/#comment-55670 Not a chance in #@$%^*&! that he hits .400 this year. In fact, if he does, I'll walk from Tucson to Phoenix (100 miles) wearing a Chipper Jones jersey if by some miracle it were to happen. Look, he's a very good major league hitter...a career .309 hitter is outstanding. But, don't think there's any way to go 13 years hitting just over .300 to hitting .400 in a season. I could be wrong...but hope that I'm not...that would be a very long and hot walk for me ;-) Not a chance in #@$%^*&! that he hits .400 this year. In fact, if he does, I’ll walk from Tucson to Phoenix (100 miles) wearing a Chipper Jones jersey if by some miracle it were to happen. Look, he’s a very good major league hitter…a career .309 hitter is outstanding. But, don’t think there’s any way to go 13 years hitting just over .300 to hitting .400 in a season. I could be wrong…but hope that I’m not…that would be a very long and hot walk for me ;-)

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