• Dodo: This dodo has gone the way of the Geocities....

This is one in a series of posts where we laud teams’ shrewd offseason acquisitions and pan their terrible trades and silly signings.

The Braves finished six games out of first place in 2009, but their Pythagorean record had them only a game back of the Phillies. Moreover, Atlanta can expect continued improvement from Tommy Hanson, who MLB Trade Rumors’ Tim Dierkes predicts will be one of the NL’s 10 best pitchers in 2010. Super prospect Jason Heyward, meanwhile, is on his way and might make the team out of spring training (especially if he keeps shattering car windows in batting practice).

The Braves could have returned the same lineup as last season and been in position to make a playoff run.

Instead, they traded their best pitcher in a cost-cutting move.

The Braves sent Javier Vazquez to the Yankees for Melky Cabrera and two minor leaguers. Fangraphs’ Dave Cameron said the Braves got more for Vazquez than the Phils got for Cliff Lee. Tim Hudson says the Braves’ rotation will still be strong, even without Vazquez. But will it be strong enough? Atlanta’s staff will boast Hudson (who the team signed to a new contract this offseason), Jair Jurrjens, Derek Lowe, Tommy Hanson and Kenshin Kawakami, who is better suited to a relief role. It’s a good group, and could be great depending on how Hudson does in his first full season back from Tommy John surgery, and how young guns Hanson and Jurrjens progress. But the Braves’s staff could have been lights out if only ownership had been willing to spend a little more on Vazquez.

Elsewhere on the diamond, Atlanta signed Troy Glaus to play first base, a position at which he has played in only six games in his career. If Glaus is healthy, the signing could be a real coup, as the slugger is a regular threat to hit 30 home runs. But Glaus missed all but 14 games last season with St. Louis, after having arthroscopic shoulder surgery and experiencing a setback when he tried to make it back in time for opening day. Signing a first baseman to a one-year deal made sense, since the Braves expect prospect Freddie Freeman to be ready as early as 2011. But it’s a little surprising that a team that already boasts one oft-injured corner infielder (Chipper, we’re looking at you) would want to add another.

The Braves also signed the tatted up Eric Hinske, who’s played in the World Series three years in a row with three different teams. Hinske’s not good enough to play everyday, nor is he an ideal platoon partner for Matt Diaz, since both hit lefties better than righties but could be a platoon partner for the lefty-crushing Diaz.

In an ideal world, Hinske will spend most of his time on the bench, pinch hitting and providing outfield and first base depth. But that’s only possible if Heyward makes the team out of spring training. Then Cabrera and Diaz can platoon in left.

Atlanta also tinkered with its bullpen this offseason, letting Mike Gonzalez walk and trading Rafael Soriano (who surprised the team by accepting salary arbitration). GM Frank Wren signed Billy Wagner and Takashi Saito to replace them, two old guys who are looking to prove they’ve still got what it takes.

The net result?

Atlanta took a big step back by dealing Vazquez, who was worth more than 6 games above replacement last season. To make up the difference, the Braves will be betting on solid health from Jones, Wagner, Saito and Glaus, and a return to form from Lowe. And that’s a lot to hope for. If only the team had found the cash to keep Vazquez. If only.

Grade: C-

Added: OF Melky Cabrera, IF Troy Glaus, CL Billy Wagner, RP Takashi Saito.

Lost: 1B Adam LaRoche, SP Javier Vazquez, CL Rafael Soriano, RP Mike Gonzalez.

Projected lineup, rotation, and closer:

C Brian McCann
1B Troy Glaus
2B Martin Prado
SS Yunel Escobar
3B Chipper Jones
RF Jason Heyward/Eric Hinske
LF Melky Cabrera/Matt Diaz
CF Nate McLouth

SP Tim Hudson
SP Derek Lowe
SP Kenshin Kawakami
SP Jair Jurrjens
SP Tommy Hanson

CL Billy Wagner

- Hot Offseason Action Index -

9 Responses to “Hot Offseason Action: Atlanta Braves”

  1. I’m not sure where you get the fact that Kawakami is “better suited to a relief role” especially when he had three months when he was a very solid starter and was pitching as well as anyone else in the rotation. His IP/S could be higher, but as the season progressed he started going deeper into games. I’m not sure there’s a better fifth starter in MLB than Kawakami.

    And Hinske does hit lefties better than righties…..every now and again. Other than 2004 and 2007, 2009 was the only year that he hit lefties better than righties. In fact, his career OPS vs RHP is 138 points higher than his OPS vs LHP.

    As for your ideal world where Cabrera and Diaz platoon in LF, that doesn’t make any sense either. The difference between Diaz’s and Cabrera’s OPS vs RHP is negligible at best, leading me to believe that a platoon is completely unnecessary since there’s no added benefit to giving Melky playing time against righties.

  2. I’m not sure how I came away with the impression that Hinske hits lefties better than righties. I was looking at his career splits. I must have just gotten confused. Chalk it up to stat overload.

    As for Diaz and Cabrera, even if you’re willing to concede that both are about equal against righties, it still makes sense to play Cabrera as he’s the better defender.

    Diaz, however, should get the nod against lefties. At least, that’s how I see it. You’re no doubt a bigger Braves fan than I am. Maybe you’ve got a different point of view.

  3. Actually, Diaz is ranked as a better defender in LF with a 6.2 UZR/150 compared to Melky’s 4.0 UZR/150.

    I’m not sure what Bobby will do in regards to LF though. Diaz has certainly earned a chanced at the everyday gig though, and it seems like Diaz alone would outproduce Melky/Diaz.

  4. I noticed their UZR/150 scores, but I still expect Melky will be the better defender. He’s only played about 180 games in LF, which isn’t enough for an accurate sample. So that 4.0 UZR/150 is a little iffy.

  5. The same could potentially be said of Diaz’s score as well then. He has 300 games, but none of them have come in more than 95-game spurts. However, each time he’s received extended playing time he’s recorded a double-digit UZR/150.

    I hope I’m not annoying you arguing semantics like this. I love reading this website and I’m going to start commenting more. Its just that I really don’t think playing Melky brings anything to the table that the Braves don’t already have.

  6. Jake, please keep commenting. You might be right about Melky. But I’m betting he surprises some folks.

  7. Melky couldn’t hit his way out of a paper bag.

  8. God, Melky was terrible

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