So how about that Joe Blanton trade?
Paul emailed me this morning to ask me my thoughts on the Phillies trade for A’s SP Joe Blanton…
Paul: Mr. Ward, your thoughts?
Coley: Blanton is a clear upgrade over Eaton and will help get the Phils to the playoffs. But he’s not the kind of pitcher who will dominate in the playoffs. He’s not a guy who’s going to go toe to toe with Josh Beckett, CC Sabathia, Rich Harden or Johan Santana and win. I feel like people are saying the same things about Blanton that they said about Carlos Silva this winter: he’s not that good, but he’ll eat innings and that’s valuable. So I suppose, at the very least, we’re not paying Blanton nearly as much as the Mariners are paying Silva. That’s something, right?
Sarah: Well, you also have to consider that Blanton won’t be matched up against Sabathia, Beckett, Santana, etc…because that will be Hamels’ job. Blanton will be matched up against the likes of a Dice-K.
Paul: Coley, your unwavering insistence that the Phillies are playoff bound is still funny to me. I think Blanton will be an average or slightly below average starter in Philly. Another Kyle Kendrick, basically. And it’s amazing to me that Philly’s farm system was THIS poor that guys like Outman and Cardenas were two of your top 4 prospects.
Coley: Yeah, the farm system sucks. And I know Blanton won’t have to match up against Beckett. But right now the Phillies don’t have a number 2 starter. What we needed was a number 2 starter. And what we got is Blanton. Here are the top two starters from teams that are likely to make the playoffs in the NL:
Webb and Haren
Zambrano and Harden
Sabbathia and Sheets
Santana and Martinez (or Pelfrey)
Is Blanton as good as any of the pitchers listed above? No. Is he close? Not really.
Basically, the Phils need to hope that Brett Myers remembers how to be a badass. And that’s a lot to hope for, considering Myers is currently a minor league pitcher.
MLB Trade Rumors has compiled a rundown of what the blogosphere is saying about the Blanton trade. Read it here.
July 18th, 2008 at 5:17 pm
“Paul: Coley, your unwavering insistence that the Phillies are playoff bound is still funny to me”.
Me too. Especially as the Mets have now caught you up!!! Hurrah!!!!!
I think the point with this is that the trade has been something of a step in the right (albeit short-term) direction and at the very least has not made things worse.
Having said that, the time for gloating isn’t really upon us given my teams’ ever so tiny collapse at the end of last year. So for that I apologise although still maintain the right to gloat once more if we don’t screw it up this time around.
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July 19th, 2008 at 12:20 am
Jon, the Mets are in second place now. You jinxed it. It’s all your fault. Jerk.
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July 19th, 2008 at 9:57 am
Coley - “Santana and Martinez (or Pelfrey)” hmmm
Maine and/or Perez would be the Mets #2 SP
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July 19th, 2008 at 1:14 pm
Doug, if the Phillies play the Mets in the postseason, I desperately want them to face Perez as often as possible. That guy is terrible. And Maine has been shaky lately. He’s only pitched into the eighth inning once this year. I think the way Pelfrey is going, he might very well be the team’s number two by the end of the season.
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July 19th, 2008 at 3:35 pm
Coley,
I’m really not a jerk, honest. I just have Mets fever all the time :-)
You may be right about jinxing it, but we’ll just see what happens
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July 19th, 2008 at 4:00 pm
Coley, I think Maine is technically #2 right now. Pelfrey still doesn’t strike enough guys out to be THIS good. And with Delgado and Castillo, their IF defense isn’t all that strong enough to fully complement Pelfrey’s sinker. But it’s really nice to see him not walk 4 hitters anymore.
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July 19th, 2008 at 7:14 pm
Jon L, Ryan Howard and Pat the Bat each came to the plate with the bases loaded in the top of the ninth this afternoon with a chance to tie the game, and both failed (though Pat had two homers and a double earlier in the game, so we’ll cut him some slack). So maybe I jinxed it by saying you jinxed it?
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