The Toughest Pre-Season Predictions
Yesterday, Umpbump posted our predictions for the 2009 season. Some of these picks were easier than others – for instance, all five of us chose the Cubs as NL Central champs, and four of us picked the A’s and Dodgers to win their respective divisions. A slim three-person majority also favored the Mets to win the NL East and the Indians to take the AL Central.
But some of these picks were downright tricky. The AL East appears to be a total toss-up between the Rays, Red Sox, and Yankees, and our picks reflect that (2 chose Boston, 2 Tampa Bay, and 1 New York).
Similarly, it was hard to choose an AL Rookie of the Year because at least three candidates – David Price, Matt Wieters, and Travis Snider – all have a legitimate shot at vying for it. Should these three fail to live up to expectations, Elvis Andrus and Austin Jackson are waiting in the wings to claim their hardware. Then there’s always the chance that one of the AL’s younger, high-ceiling prospects – Neftali Feliz? – could force himself onto the big-league club sooner than expected and surprise us all.
But it was hard to pick the NL Rookie for the opposite reason: none of the NL’s most exciting talents are big-league ready. Atlanta’s Jayson Heyward is only 19, and topped out at high-A last year. The Giants’ Madison Bumgardner isn’t slated to make it to the bigs until 2010 at the soonest. And the Mets’ Fernando Martinez has already been rushed, and New York won’t want to hurry him further. So who will it be? In the end, four of us settled for Cameron Maybin, who seemed to figure things out a bit last September, while the fifth chose Colby Rasmus, another valid choice. Beyond that, Jordan Schafer’s torrid spring won him Atlanta’s starting CF gig, while Pittsburgh’s Andrew McCutchen has been returned to Triple A – but probably not for long. But by far the most fun rumor is that the Nats would draft Stephen Strasburg and immediately bring the college pitcher to the majors. According to BP’s Kevin Goldstein, “every scout thinks he’d be fine.”
So, while our AL ROY picks came down to politicking – who’ll get more votes for being on a contender, who’ll get penalized for being a pitcher, who’ll get more support for starting the season with the big-league club – the NL picks all come down to who steps up and does the best job. And when it comes to preseason predictions, there’s nothing more boring than “well, it depends…”
Who did we miss, Umpbumpers? What rookies and prospects are you most excited about? What are your picks? Let us know in the comments!
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Bold and refreshing 2008 predictions
The question: If a baseball season kicks off a week early with two games played in Japan, does it make a sound?
The answer: Yes. Kinda. Sorta.
The baseball season is upon us, but because we had to wake up super early to watch the games and because we couldn’t watch any of it first hand, it seems like maybe the A’s-Red Sox series was all a dream. It’s like when a restaurant or a casino opens with a “soft opening” serving only friends, family and VIP customers for the first week. Technically, they’re open. But not really.
While we’re waiting for the 2008 season to officially start, we here at Umpbump thought we’d make a few predictions about how things will unfold. Feel free to use these predictions as ammo to discredit us in the future.
Coley’s Picks:
NL East: Braves
NL Central: Cubs
NL West: Dodgers
NL Wild Card: Diamondbacks
AL East: Red Sox
AL Central: Tigers
AL West: A’s
AL Wild Card: Yankees
NL Rookie of the Year: Hiroki Kuroda
AL Rookie of the Year: Evan Longoria
NL CY Young: Aaron Harang
AL CY Young: Rich Harden
NL MVP: David Wright
AL MVP: Alex Rodriguez
Sarah’s Picks:
NL East: Mets
NL Central: Brewers
NL West: Diamondbacks
NL Wild Card: Phillies
AL East: Red Sox
AL Central: Tigers
AL West: Mariners
AL Wild Card: Yankees
NL Rookie of the Year: Johnny Cueto
AL Rookie of the Year: Jacoby Ellsbury
NL CY Young: Johan Santana
AL CY Young: Josh Beckett
NL MVP: David Wright
AL MVP: Alex Rodriguez
Alejandro’s Picks:
NL East: Mets
NL Central: Cubs
NL West: Dodgers
NL Wild Card: Braves
AL East: Red Sox
AL Central: White Sox
AL West: Mariners
AL Wild Card: Tigers
NL Rookie of the Year: Kosuke Fukudome
AL Rookie of the Year: Alexei Ramirez
NL CY Young: Johan Santana
AL CY Young: Rich Harden
NL MVP:David Wright
AL MVP: Miguel Cabrera
Nick’s Picks:
NL East: Phillies
NL Central: Brewers
NL West: Dodgers
NL Wild Card: Cubs
AL East: Yankees
AL Central: Tigers
AL West: A’s
AL Wild Card: Red Sox
NL Rookie of the Year: Kosuke Fukudome
AL Rookie of the Year: Daric Barton
NL CY Young: Dan Haren
AL CY Young: Justin Verlander
NL MVP: Ryan Braun
AL MVP: Miguel Cabrera
Paul’s Picks:
NL East: Mets
NL Central: Cubs
NL West: Diamondbacks
NL Wild Card: Brewers
AL East: Yankees
AL Central: Indians
AL West: Angels
AL Wild Card: Red Sox
NL Rookie of the Year: Kosuke Fukudome
AL Rookie of the Year: Daric Barton
NL CY Young: Johan Santana
AL CY Young: C.C. Sabathia
NL MVP: Ryan Braun
AL MVP: Alex Rodriguez
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